Perplexed "Israel" Studies Different War Scenarios
Source: Al Manar TV, 12-04-2008
The "defensive" maneuvers to test 'Israel's' Home Front revealed the Zionist state's conception of the offensive strikes that will target it, in case war breaks out. In general the 'Israeli' conception includes scenarios driven from the lessons learned from the Second Lebanon War in July 2006 as well as military confrontations with Palestinian resistance factions.
A week on the beginning of 'Israel's' largest-ever emergency exercise since its creation, the Zionist entity is still perplexed, surrounded with scenarios and expectations of a forthcoming war in the region, reflecting the scare level it has reached.
Rockets launched from here and there land across 'Israel'; from Syria, Lebanon, and Palestine. The whole "state" including its extreme limits is under fire: this is the main scenario 'Israel' is expecting to face as part of a comprehensive war in the region. The organizers of the first drill of its kind in the history of the so-called state of 'Israel' expect that these attacks from the three fronts will persist with around 400 to 500 rockets on a daily basis. According to organizers, Syrian "Scud" rockets would target the whole 'Israel' while missiles fired from Lebanon would target "Hadira," just as rockets from Gaza would target the "Ashdod" line in the South.
In this context, Lebanese expert in 'Israeli' affairs Helmi Mussa said that the major idea behind the drills was that 'Israel', if it engaged in a new war, will have no front, "because the whole Jewish state will intrinsically be the front, the home front alongside the rear front would actually be one individual front," the Assafir daily columnist said. Mussa added that "this 'Israeli' exercise had signaled, for the first time, to 'who starts and who retaliates.' If Arabs are to start this battle, it would see an intensive rocket strike on day one with thousands of rockets launched."
Meanwhile, the 'Israeli' military mind does not rule out the possibility that rockets target governmental offices, including the Knesset in Jerusalem, the war ministry headquarters, and the army command in Tel Aviv as well as chemical and petroleum sites.
Of the other expected scenarios is a maritime infiltration into Tel Aviv followed by the "kidnapping" of a bus and the seizing of hostages to exchange them with detainees in 'Israeli' prisons.
However, what really catches the eye in all the scenarios is that the Iranian front is completely ruled out, given the destructive and deterrent capability of the 'Patriot' anti-rocket system. Any nuclear war is also not on the 'Israeli' agenda.
"Despite being present, the Iranian danger was somewhat ignored in the scenarios for many reasons that might be moral or political. There was tendency not to "show the real dimensions of the dangers and risks on 'Israel' for fear of causing panic within the Israeli community," Helmi Mussa said.
Even more eye catching is 'Israel's' tendency to prepare the 'Israeli' public for large numbers of casualties that could reach 100 deaths in a single rocket attack; something unfamiliar to the 'Israelis'.
At the end of the exercise, battles end and 'Israel' comes out victorious after quelling the 'terrorists who had taken the bus passengers hostage." 'Israel' was also able to silence Syrian, Lebanese and Palestinian fire within one week.
This is the simulated end of the war as 'Israel' sees it. However real ends are only written based on facts on the ground.
The "defensive" maneuvers to test 'Israel's' Home Front revealed the Zionist state's conception of the offensive strikes that will target it, in case war breaks out. In general the 'Israeli' conception includes scenarios driven from the lessons learned from the Second Lebanon War in July 2006 as well as military confrontations with Palestinian resistance factions.
A week on the beginning of 'Israel's' largest-ever emergency exercise since its creation, the Zionist entity is still perplexed, surrounded with scenarios and expectations of a forthcoming war in the region, reflecting the scare level it has reached.
Rockets launched from here and there land across 'Israel'; from Syria, Lebanon, and Palestine. The whole "state" including its extreme limits is under fire: this is the main scenario 'Israel' is expecting to face as part of a comprehensive war in the region. The organizers of the first drill of its kind in the history of the so-called state of 'Israel' expect that these attacks from the three fronts will persist with around 400 to 500 rockets on a daily basis. According to organizers, Syrian "Scud" rockets would target the whole 'Israel' while missiles fired from Lebanon would target "Hadira," just as rockets from Gaza would target the "Ashdod" line in the South.
In this context, Lebanese expert in 'Israeli' affairs Helmi Mussa said that the major idea behind the drills was that 'Israel', if it engaged in a new war, will have no front, "because the whole Jewish state will intrinsically be the front, the home front alongside the rear front would actually be one individual front," the Assafir daily columnist said. Mussa added that "this 'Israeli' exercise had signaled, for the first time, to 'who starts and who retaliates.' If Arabs are to start this battle, it would see an intensive rocket strike on day one with thousands of rockets launched."
Meanwhile, the 'Israeli' military mind does not rule out the possibility that rockets target governmental offices, including the Knesset in Jerusalem, the war ministry headquarters, and the army command in Tel Aviv as well as chemical and petroleum sites.
Of the other expected scenarios is a maritime infiltration into Tel Aviv followed by the "kidnapping" of a bus and the seizing of hostages to exchange them with detainees in 'Israeli' prisons.
However, what really catches the eye in all the scenarios is that the Iranian front is completely ruled out, given the destructive and deterrent capability of the 'Patriot' anti-rocket system. Any nuclear war is also not on the 'Israeli' agenda.
"Despite being present, the Iranian danger was somewhat ignored in the scenarios for many reasons that might be moral or political. There was tendency not to "show the real dimensions of the dangers and risks on 'Israel' for fear of causing panic within the Israeli community," Helmi Mussa said.
Even more eye catching is 'Israel's' tendency to prepare the 'Israeli' public for large numbers of casualties that could reach 100 deaths in a single rocket attack; something unfamiliar to the 'Israelis'.
At the end of the exercise, battles end and 'Israel' comes out victorious after quelling the 'terrorists who had taken the bus passengers hostage." 'Israel' was also able to silence Syrian, Lebanese and Palestinian fire within one week.
This is the simulated end of the war as 'Israel' sees it. However real ends are only written based on facts on the ground.
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