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US 2016 Presidential Election: Nationwide Poll Shows Clinton Leading Trump by 11 Pts
Local Editor
He has been accused by multiple women of assault. He has boasted of not paying federal taxes, threatened to jail his opponent and claimed the system is rigged. And yet nothing seemed to stick.
But now, a new nationwide poll published barely three weeks ahead of election day, suggested that Donald Trump has fallen a full 11 points behind Hillary Clinton.
The poll by NBC News and The Wall Street Journal put Libertarian Gary Johnson at 7% and the Green Party's Jill Stein at 2%.
The lead is even greater than the seven points Barack Obama beat John McCain nationally in 2008. Obama's margin of victory over Mitt Romney in 2012 was just four points.
"Donald Trump's chances of winning this election have faded," Democratic pollster Fred Yang of Hart Research Associates told NBC. Yang's company conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff and his firm Public Opinion Strategies.
This poll gives Clinton a greater lead than many others. A poll by The Washington Post scored her 47-43 ahead of Trump, with Johnson on 5% and Stein at 2%.
An average of polls collated by Real Clear Politics gives Clinton a lead of 5.5%.
Trump has spent most of the last week seeking to dismiss allegations from a growing number of women he assaulted. The accusations date back over a period of decades.
The nationwide polls only tell part of the complex situation on the ground as the US prepares to vote. The election will be decided by a handful of swing states, that will permit a candidate to secure the 270 electoral votes required to win the race.
Clinton is ahead of Trump in most of these states. And more complex calculations by The New York Times and statistical websites such as FiveThirtyEight give her a very likely chance of winning.
FiveThirtyEight currently gives Clinton an 86% chance of winning, and Trump just 14.
Source: News Agencies, Edited by website team
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